World Cup Third-place play-off odds — who will play in match 103?

Match 103 · Third-place play-off · Hard Rock Stadium · Loser of M101 vs Loser of M102

The most likely matchups for this Third-place play-off, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Argentina vs Spain — 2%
2. Spain vs England — 1%
3. Spain vs Portugal — 1%
4. Argentina vs France — 1%
5. France vs England — 1%
6. Argentina vs United States — 1%
7. Argentina vs Portugal — 1%
8. Argentina vs Germany — 1%
9. Portugal vs Colombia — 1%
10. England vs United States — 1%
11. Argentina vs Netherlands — 1%
12. France vs Portugal — 1%
13. France vs Brazil — 1%
14. Spain vs Colombia — 1%
15. France vs Norway — 1%
16. England vs Portugal — 1%
17. England vs Germany — 1%
18. Argentina vs Belgium — 1%
19. Spain vs Norway — 1%
20. Argentina vs Brazil — 1%