World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 87?

Match 87 · Round of 32 · Arrowhead Stadium · Winner of Group K vs 3rd place from D/E/I/J/L

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Colombia vs Ghana — 18%
2. Portugal vs Ghana — 15%
3. Colombia vs Croatia — 8%
4. Portugal vs Croatia — 6%
5. Colombia vs Senegal — 5%
6. Portugal vs Senegal — 5%
7. Colombia vs Ecuador — 5%
8. Colombia vs Panama — 4%
9. Colombia vs Norway — 4%
10. Portugal vs Ecuador — 4%
11. Portugal vs Norway — 3%
12. Portugal vs Panama — 3%
13. Ghana vs DR Congo — 3%
14. Croatia vs DR Congo — 1%
15. Colombia vs England — 1%
16. Colombia vs Germany — 1%
17. Senegal vs DR Congo — 1%
18. Portugal vs England — 1%
19. Colombia vs Iraq — 1%
20. Portugal vs Germany — 1%