World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 86?

Match 86 · Round of 32 · Hard Rock Stadium · Winner of Group J vs Runner-up of Group H

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Argentina vs Uruguay — 26%
2. Argentina vs Cape Verde — 19%
3. Argentina vs Saudi Arabia — 16%
4. Argentina vs Spain — 15%
5. Uruguay vs Austria — 6%
6. Austria vs Cape Verde — 5%
7. Austria vs Saudi Arabia — 4%
8. Spain vs Austria — 4%
9. Uruguay vs Algeria — 1%
10. Cape Verde vs Algeria — 1%
11. Spain vs Algeria — 1%
12. Saudi Arabia vs Algeria — 1%