World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 81?

Match 81 · Round of 32 · Levi's Stadium · Winner of Group D vs 3rd place from B/E/F/I/J

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 18%
2. United States vs Canada — 17%
3. United States vs Switzerland — 12%
4. Australia vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 6%
5. Australia vs Canada — 6%
6. Australia vs Switzerland — 4%
7. United States vs Qatar — 3%
8. Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Türkiye — 3%
9. United States vs Ecuador — 3%
10. Canada vs Türkiye — 3%
11. Switzerland vs Türkiye — 2%
12. United States vs Senegal — 2%
13. United States vs Algeria — 2%
14. United States vs Norway — 2%
15. United States vs Austria — 1%
16. Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Paraguay — 1%
17. Canada vs Paraguay — 1%
18. Australia vs Qatar — 1%
19. Australia vs Ecuador — 1%
20. Switzerland vs Paraguay — 1%