World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 80?

Match 80 · Round of 32 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Winner of Group L vs 3rd place from E/H/I/J/K

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. England vs DR Congo — 26%
2. England vs Uzbekistan — 15%
3. England vs Portugal — 11%
4. England vs Senegal — 10%
5. England vs Colombia — 10%
6. England vs Norway — 7%
7. England vs Ecuador — 3%
8. DR Congo vs Ghana — 2%
9. England vs Iraq — 2%
10. DR Congo vs Croatia — 1%
11. Uzbekistan vs Ghana — 1%
12. England vs Algeria — 1%
13. England vs France — 1%
14. England vs Austria — 1%
15. England vs Germany — 1%
16. Uzbekistan vs Croatia — 1%
17. Portugal vs Ghana — 1%
18. Colombia vs Ghana — 1%
19. Senegal vs Ghana — 1%
20. Colombia vs Croatia — 1%