World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 79?

Match 79 · Round of 32 · Estadio Azteca · Winner of Group A vs 3rd place from C/E/F/H/I

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Mexico vs Ecuador — 24%
2. Mexico vs Scotland — 17%
3. Mexico vs Uruguay — 7%
4. Mexico vs Morocco — 6%
5. Mexico vs Saudi Arabia — 6%
6. Mexico vs Germany — 6%
7. Mexico vs Cape Verde — 5%
8. Mexico vs Brazil — 4%
9. Mexico vs Ivory Coast — 3%
10. Ecuador vs South Korea — 3%
11. Mexico vs Spain — 2%
12. Mexico vs Haiti — 2%
13. South Korea vs Uruguay — 2%
14. South Korea vs Saudi Arabia — 2%
15. South Korea vs Cape Verde — 2%
16. Mexico vs Curaçao — 2%
17. South Korea vs Scotland — 1%
18. Mexico vs Senegal — 1%
19. South Korea vs Spain — 1%
20. South Korea vs Germany — 1%