World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 78?

Match 78 · Round of 32 · AT&T Stadium · Runner-up of Group E vs Runner-up of Group I

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Norway vs Ivory Coast — 25%
2. Ivory Coast vs Senegal — 20%
3. Ivory Coast vs France — 14%
4. Norway vs Germany — 10%
5. Senegal vs Germany — 8%
6. Norway vs Ecuador — 6%
7. France vs Germany — 6%
8. Senegal vs Ecuador — 5%
9. France vs Ecuador — 3%
10. Ivory Coast vs Iraq — 1%
11. Norway vs Curaçao — 1%