World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 76?

Match 76 · Round of 32 · NRG Stadium · Winner of Group C vs Runner-up of Group F

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Brazil vs Japan — 18%
2. Brazil vs Netherlands — 18%
3. Brazil vs Sweden — 15%
4. Morocco vs Japan — 12%
5. Morocco vs Netherlands — 12%
6. Morocco vs Sweden — 10%
7. Japan vs Scotland — 4%
8. Netherlands vs Scotland — 4%
9. Sweden vs Scotland — 3%
10. Brazil vs Tunisia — 1%
11. Morocco vs Tunisia — 1%