World Cup Round of 32 odds — who will play in match 74?

Match 74 · Round of 32 · Gillette Stadium · Winner of Group E vs 3rd place from A/B/C/D/F

The most likely matchups for this Round of 32, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Germany vs Scotland — 14%
2. Germany vs Australia — 10%
3. Germany vs Türkiye — 10%
4. Germany vs Paraguay — 8%
5. Ivory Coast vs Scotland — 7%
6. Germany vs Morocco — 6%
7. Ivory Coast vs Australia — 5%
8. Ivory Coast vs Türkiye — 5%
9. Germany vs United States — 5%
10. Germany vs Brazil — 4%
11. Ivory Coast vs Paraguay — 4%
12. Ivory Coast vs Morocco — 3%
13. Ivory Coast vs United States — 2%
14. Ivory Coast vs Brazil — 2%
15. Germany vs Haiti — 2%
16. Scotland vs Ecuador — 2%
17. Germany vs Sweden — 1%
18. Australia vs Ecuador — 1%
19. Türkiye vs Ecuador — 1%
20. Ivory Coast vs Haiti — 1%