World Cup Round of 16 odds — who will play in match 90?

Match 90 · Round of 16 · NRG Stadium · Winner of M73 vs Winner of M75

The most likely matchups for this Round of 16, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Netherlands vs South Korea — 8%
2. Morocco vs South Korea — 7%
3. Brazil vs South Korea — 7%
4. South Korea vs Japan — 5%
5. Netherlands vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 4%
6. Morocco vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 4%
7. Netherlands vs Switzerland — 4%
8. Netherlands vs Canada — 3%
9. South Korea vs Sweden — 3%
10. Brazil vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 3%
11. Morocco vs Switzerland — 3%
12. Morocco vs Canada — 3%
13. Brazil vs Switzerland — 3%
14. Brazil vs Canada — 3%
15. Japan vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 2%
16. Netherlands vs Mexico — 2%
17. South Korea vs Scotland — 2%
18. Japan vs Switzerland — 2%
19. Morocco vs Mexico — 2%
20. Japan vs Canada — 2%