World Cup Quarter-final odds — who will play in match 99?

Match 99 · Quarter-final · Hard Rock Stadium · Winner of M91 vs Winner of M92

The most likely matchups for this Quarter-final, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. England vs Brazil — 9%
2. England vs France — 6%
3. England vs Norway — 5%
4. England vs Morocco — 5%
5. England vs Netherlands — 5%
6. England vs Germany — 4%
7. Brazil vs Mexico — 4%
8. England vs Japan — 3%
9. England vs Ivory Coast — 3%
10. England vs Senegal — 3%
11. France vs Mexico — 2%
12. Mexico vs Norway — 2%
13. Mexico vs Morocco — 2%
14. England vs Sweden — 2%
15. Mexico vs Netherlands — 2%
16. Mexico vs Germany — 2%
17. Mexico vs Ivory Coast — 1%
18. Mexico vs Japan — 1%
19. Mexico vs Senegal — 1%
20. Brazil vs Ecuador — 1%