World Cup Quarter-final odds — who will play in match 98?

Match 98 · Quarter-final · SoFi Stadium · Winner of M93 vs Winner of M94

The most likely matchups for this Quarter-final, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. Spain vs United States — 9%
2. Spain vs Belgium — 6%
3. Portugal vs United States — 4%
4. Spain vs Egypt — 3%
5. Portugal vs Belgium — 3%
6. Spain vs Australia — 2%
7. United States vs Croatia — 2%
8. United States vs Colombia — 2%
9. United States vs Argentina — 2%
10. Spain vs Switzerland — 2%
11. Spain vs Uruguay — 2%
12. Spain vs Canada — 2%
13. Belgium vs Croatia — 2%
14. United States vs Austria — 1%
15. Belgium vs Colombia — 1%
16. Belgium vs Argentina — 1%
17. Spain vs Türkiye — 1%
18. Spain vs Austria — 1%
19. Spain vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 1%
20. Portugal vs Egypt — 1%