World Cup Quarter-final odds — who will play in match 97?

Match 97 · Quarter-final · Gillette Stadium · Winner of M89 vs Winner of M90

The most likely matchups for this Quarter-final, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. France vs Netherlands — 7%
2. France vs Brazil — 7%
3. France vs Morocco — 6%
4. France vs South Korea — 5%
5. France vs Japan — 4%
6. Germany vs Netherlands — 4%
7. Germany vs Morocco — 3%
8. Germany vs Brazil — 3%
9. Germany vs South Korea — 3%
10. France vs Sweden — 2%
11. France vs Switzerland — 2%
12. Germany vs Japan — 2%
13. France vs Canada — 2%
14. France vs Mexico — 2%
15. France vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — 1%
16. France vs Scotland — 1%
17. Netherlands vs Japan — 1%
18. Netherlands vs Norway — 1%
19. Germany vs Sweden — 1%
20. Morocco vs Norway — 1%