World Cup Final odds — who will play in match 104?

Match 104 · Final · MetLife Stadium · Winner of M101 vs Winner of M102

The most likely matchups for this Final, from a Monte Carlo simulation calibrated to live betting-market odds:

1. France vs England — 4%
2. France vs Argentina — 4%
3. Spain vs Argentina — 4%
4. Spain vs England — 4%
5. France vs Spain — 2%
6. France vs Portugal — 2%
7. France vs Brazil — 2%
8. Spain vs Portugal — 2%
9. England vs Germany — 2%
10. Spain vs Brazil — 2%
11. France vs Germany — 2%
12. Argentina vs Germany — 2%
13. France vs Norway — 1%
14. Argentina vs Portugal — 1%
15. England vs Portugal — 1%
16. Argentina vs Brazil — 1%
17. Spain vs Germany — 1%
18. England vs Brazil — 1%
19. France vs Netherlands — 1%
20. England vs Netherlands — 1%